"The true dreamers are those who think things can go on
indefinitely the way they are. We are not dreamers. We are
awakening from a dream which is turning into a nightmare. We
are not destroying anything. We are only witnessings how the
system is destroying itself. To be engaged in fighting for
freedom, you have first to free yourself from the chains of
the ruling ideology. When you critize capitalism, don't
allow yourself to be blackmailed that your are against
democracy."----The Occupied Wall Street Journal
The word "capitalism" once the pride of the west has
suddenly assumed a dirty and sinister, if not altogether
fraudulent connotation, at least in the United States in
these lean times of severe economic distress--to the extent
that some Republican Party brainiacs, alarmed at the bashing
of Wall street by the media, organized labor, and enraged
political activists, have suggested its strategic
replacement with a more appealing nomenclature such as "free
enterprise", for example. Sure, that sounds less ugly, less
menacing, and less exploitative, too; for the word "free"
smoothens off its rough edges that so often grates on the
overly sensitive skins of the poor laboring under its yoke.
But no apologies. Though monstrously imperfect, I have no
qualms in stating that I have a soft spot for the capitalist
economic system, if for nothing else but for: (1) its
prodigious capacity for wealth creation; (2) the massive
wealth it has in fact created in the world particularly in
developed economies in the last few millenia, and it is now
doing in the developing economies that have chosen its path,
as can readily be seen in the economic miracles of the
"Asian Tigers"; (3) its promise for least developed African
nations that look forward to becoming the new frontiers of
economic growth and development. Yes, capitalism might not
be perfect, and no one said it was, but it delivers! Period.
And that is important. For all its bashing no one disputes
that fact. That is not to say, however, that we should close
our eyes and ears to its shortcomings and go on with
business as usual, but to recognize its huge contribution to
global prosperity in general even as mass poverty remains an
issue.
With such a stellar resume to flaunt around and indeed
poke in the face of communism, its arch competitor, it must
take Karl Marx himself not to fall in love with such
consummate wealth generator and amplifier as capitalism has
proven time and again in country after country that has
embraced it as its preferred path of economic growth and
development. In this connection, we need to remind ourselves
that none of the nations that have converted to free market
and the capitalist mode has any regrets for doing so whether
in South America, Africa, and the Caribbeans China, India,
Malaysia, Singapore, Ireland, Poland, Ukraine, Georgia,
Indonesia, South Korea, Brazil, or even the small Namibia in
our very own backyard right there in Africa--all bearing
eloquent testimonies to the power of the capitalist mode of
production.
The genius of capitalism resides in its boundless
capacity to create what Marxists prefer to call "surplus
value", which, in plain language simply means surplus
wealth. And capitalism does in fact create surplus wealth,
and massively at that, too, well beyond the market needs of
its producer countries extending into foreign markets
thereby making for robust, vibrant, and dynamic world trade
with its regulatory agency, the World Trade Organization
(WTO). This is the thing with it. Capitalism does not go
small. It goes big and succeeds or fails big as the case may
be. It is perhaps fair to state therefore that there has
been no other economic system in the history of the world
that has created nearly as much wealth for nations that
embraced it as the capitalist system. There is so much
wealth floating around in the free world that it is a shame
that there is still mass poverty in many parts of the world
even in the developed nations themselves.
On a personal level, this writer was, at first, shocked
to see mass poverty even in the United States amid its
huumongous surplus wealth that hundreds of thousands of
citizens are not only homeless and live literarily in and
off the streets and subways, but must rely on food kitchens,
churches, and charitable organizations to put food in their
starving stomachs or provide roof over their heads
especially in the bitter winter colds. I couldn't understand
and still don't understand the glaring contradictions and
huge gulf in income levels between those at the top 1% and
the rest of the 99% as they have now come to be
characterized these days and those who do not count at all
in the official estimates. It's the ugly side of capitalism
that people can be found in their thousands in the streets
begging for alms. Who is accounting for those medicant
hordes in the streets? Sad to say, no one in particular.
They are both nameless and faceless and mere statistical
abstraction at best.
By some queer, capitalistic logic such social condition
seems to be viewed as "normal" in capitalist systems that
would readily point to the existence of public assistance or
welfare programs for the poor as wholesome and redemptive
features of the system, but which can only go so far in
meeting the existential needs of impoverished citizenry.
Let's not delude ourselves: No one should envy even for a
second those on public assistance in developed countries,
including of course, the United States. Life on welfare is
life wasted, and a huge burden on society, too. This may not
be political correct in our age of political correctness but
it is the reality and I have no problem saying it like it
is.
Even so, no other system has lifted more of the throng of
humanity from the nadir of poverty, material deprivations,
and subsistence existence more than capitalism. The
sociological term "middle class", a unique creation of the
capitalist system captures it all in a nutshell. Only
capitalism could have created such middle class that is
large enough to form a distinct demographic group in
society. Previous systems simply created two opposite
classes of the haves and the have-nots, with virtually
nothing in between. Its robust middle class of white and
blue collar workers can afford the good life just like the
rich unlike the peasantry in feudal times, for instance.
Also, through the financial markets the little guy could
invest his widow’s mite in the capitalist gravy train and
make a buck or two for himself if the gods of capitalism
happen to smile on him even for a brief moment, thus
affording him the opportunity for social mobility which was
so rigid and etched in stone in previous epochs as to create
distinct social castes with no avenues of breaking out.
Whatever its shortcomings, therefore, capitalism must be
credited for making social mobility possible.
It is a matter for regret, therefore, that capitalism has
fallen short and has not been able to do as good a job in
distributing its surplus wealth in the back end as it has in
creating it in the front end. And the bad news is that it
appears incapable of doing so. Its mechanism of distributing
wealth as indicated in the capital market is rather too
elitist and therefore caters only to the sophisticated
investors which constitute only a small fraction of the
populace. As a result, 90% of its huge wealth resides only
in the top 1% of the population and that has become the
battle cry of protesters in the United States chanting the
1% and 99% slogan in the growing "Occupy" movement.
According to data from the US Census Bureau released on
September, 13,2011, 46.2 million Americans were living in
poverty in Y2010. By now it must have reached or close to 50
millions in 2011, in the midst of plenty.
Distributing this surplus wealth has, therefore, become
its Achilles Heel, and may very well become its waterloo as
well. The auguries are indeed troubling if not altogether
frightening, and that is a scarry thing even to contemplate
the possible demise of the world's pre-eminent economic
system as the global economic system takes exacts its tool
on the masses. But if capitalism is fated to go the way of
communism it is beyond the power of man to save it however
much he tries to as the Europeans are doing presently with
little or no success so far even as they keep pushing for
new solutions.
There are, no doubt, those incurable optimists out there,
who might dismiss the present economic convulsion as one of
the usual ill winds that periodically assail the capitalist
system that will soon go away. And they have every reason
and incentive to think that way because it is the only game
in town in which they are heavily invested. I once belonged
to that group and even went about pontificating to those who
cared to listen to me that the US economy under Barack Obama
and, indeed any other president, for that matter, had
nowhere else to go but up as previous historical experiences
with severe economic downturns had instructed me. But we are
now moving, or rather limping into the fourth year of the
recession/depression--the longest running in history, yet
the economic storm has shown no signs of abating. Rather it
has gained new strenghts in Europe, threatening to tear
asunder the carefully crafted 27-member European Union
superstate.
Added to that reality is the creeping recognition that
the crisis is much far deeper than previously imagined.
Therefore, the response mechanism hurriedly put together in
the wake of the crisis by panicky politicians to address it
has proven to be woefully inadequate if not wholly
inappropriate, necessitating a completely fresh approach.
Like a doomed patient the global economy has stopped
responding to treatment and even the sizzling Chinese
economy, which is the envy of the west has shown signs of
slowing down--no thanks to the Eurozone economic troubles.
There is, therefore, little cause for optimism in the face
of these realities on the ground however optimistic we might
want to be.
As I write this piece Europe is battling to come up with
a new kind of union that will prohibit deficit budgetting by
member states with appropriate enforcement mechanism. In
practical terms that means the member states will have to
give up a chunk of their sovereignty, an idea that does not
appear to go down well with British Prime Minister, David
Cameron. And although the rest 26 members voted for a new
union, pulling such resolution through their national
parliaments or referenda is a different animal altogether
and may well drive the union into new political turmoil in
addition to the economic crisis.
The atmosphere is so poisoned right now that it will be a
miracle for countries like Greece to pull such a resolution
through their parliaments. And that is because nationalism
is not dead with the union and can be counted to rear its
ugly head as the British have done. Agreeing to new form of
union in Brussels by EU leaders that cedes sovereignty to
Brussels is the easy part. Having the peoples' endorsements
in their respective countries is practically next to
impossible in the current atmosphere. It wasn't easy the
last time at the best of times when there was no economic
turmoil in Europe and everybody was happy. Many countries
stalled in the referenda. Now, it is a different climate
altogether that is decidedly anti-government as we have seen
in Greece and Italy, for example.
All of this goes to the question of capitalist system. It
is at the root of the crisis. It has to be addressed
holistically, not tinkering at the edges. Right now, the
capitalist west is in denial that the capitalist system is
overdue for a major overhaul. And I am afraid all the
measures taken so far are just mere firebrigade measures
designed to put out the fire rather than addressing the
cause of the fire. Yet the fire rages on with little
containment if it all.
LET'S face it: Capitalism might be a great system
alright, but it is not and has never pretended to be a
stable economic system. On the contrary, instability seems
to be at its very core, dogging its path every step of the
way. The more we drill down into its core the more chaotic
and unstable it becomes. In competition with communism,
however, this congenital defect paled into insignificance
and was largely overlooked by many given the well documented
horrors of communism itself. Like an eccentric old man,
however, capitalism has acquired the notoriety of blowing
hot and cold with bouts of booms and busts much like an
epileptic patient, and this should be of great concern to
the world at large that has pinned its hopes and aspirations
on it. And this calls to mind the Great Depression of the
last century that hit the world in 1929, and subsequent
capitalist convulsions that continue to dog the path of
global economic growth and development. Booms and busts have
become the lot of the capitalist system. Between the Great
Depression and and now there have been countless harvests of
shortlived booms and busts and a rash of recessions,
depressions, and rather violent capitalist gyrations that
have become somewhat of bi-annual rituals in almost all
major economies across continents.
At this point the reader might ask, why is capitalism so
prone to crisis? The simple answer is, greed. The capitalist
beast is fed by human greed and it rewards the greediest of
the greedy, and bountifully, too. But don't forget that
greed is a vice, not virtue. Therefore, a beast that is fed
by a vice rather than a virtue can only produce a bigger and
more sinister beast for which we have all been witnesses. It
is this greed that Americans are protesting in the streets
across the cities by way of the Occupy Wall Street (OWS)
movement that has lit up major US cities, spontaneously. Yet
the bitter truth is that capitalism cannot survive even for
a day without greed. Greed is its lifeblood.
The OWS puts it better when it states that:
"WE THE PEOPLE of the global Occupy movement emboy and
enact a deep democratic awakening with genuine joy and
fierce determination. Our movement---fearless and
leaderless--is a soulful expression of a moral outrage at
the ugly corporate greed that pushes our society and world
to the brink of catastrophe..."
Pluck greed from the heart of capitalism and it will be
ready for the undertakers, destined for the morgue, and
thereafter to the cementary for its final resting place. It
is this greed that has inflicted great harm on the fortunes
of ordinary hardworking citizens caught in between its
ferocious jaws. In one fell swoop millions in the United
States and elswhere lost their homes, investments, pensions,
and retirement benefits to the banking collapse caused by
greedy mortgage bankers while they walked away with billions
of dollars in their pockets unscathed--not even a mere
official reprimand by the authorities in the US. In case
after case, country after country, massive corruption,
fraudulent expropriation of the poor, hardworking masses,
and official complicity trail the path of capitalism. The
millions of Americans whose retirment benefits have been
wipped off the huge casino that is Wall Street and the home
owners that have been rendered homeless literarily overnight
know firsthand the horrors of capitalism and government's
utter incapacity to effectively regulate it.
It only goes to show that capitalism is essentially a
rudderless ship with no one really in charge of piloting it.
After all, isn't that supposed to be the meaning of "free
market" where the players do whatever they like to maximize
profits at the expense of all with no headmaster in charge
of reining in the unruly kids? Politicians are beholden to
them. They grovel before them during and after elections. In
the United States, for instance, the entire legislative
process has virtually been hijacked by corporate America,
which dictates which legislative proposals should pass and
which should go out the window. With their deep pockets and
hordes of institutional lobbyists at their service, the
ordinary citizen no longer has a say in how he is to be
governed.
And to make matters worse the US Supreme Court has just
recently in a landmark decision vested the right to freedom
of speech on US corporations just like US citizens, meaning
in practical terms, awarding them the power to campaign for
particular parties or political candidates thereby giving
corporations the enormous power to hijack the issues and
dominate the political field and effectively shut out the
voices of the ordinary citizens. How ordinary citizens could
compete for political choices with huge corporations
dominating the airwaves beats me hollow. The scales are
weighted in favor of big business. A situation where CEOs of
corporate America are awarding themselves huge bonuses
running into hundreds of millions of dollars and flying
around in corporate jets on vacations to exotic lands
sometimes with government bailout funds at tax payers'
expense in the face of mass poverty, is fundamentally
unsustainable. And it does not take a genius to figure out
that the masses will revolt at one time or another when push
comes to shove. Nations are born, owned, and defended by
their citizens, not corporations. I don't know of any US
corporation that has laid down its life to defend America.
It's its citizens that put their lives and limbs on the line
to defend the nation and they deserve better than being
handed the short end of the stick. It is, therefore,
unconsionable and morally reprehensible to contine business
as usual.
What are we talking about here in real terms? Let's put
some numbers to it. Check this out: US corporations are not
even paying their fair share of taxes. Quoting "Citizens for
Tax Justice," the Occupied Wall Street Journal reports that
"While most Americans reliquish 40 percent of their income
to taxes, the most powerful corporations in the world pay
next to nothing once credits and deductions are factored
in".
It and further reports that "twelve of the Fortune 500
companies--including Wells Fargo, Exxon Mobil, General
Electric and Verizon---paid an effective tax rate of
negative 1.4 percent on $175 billion in profits during the
years 200-2010."
From all indications President Obama just like his
predecessors is in bed with Wall street in spite of his
public rhetoric. There has been nothing radical in his
appointments to economic positions. The same old guards are
in charge of his economic policies including Jon Corzine who
ran Goldman Sachs and Global Financial into the ditch and
escaped with bankrutcy filing. The "change" president has
changed nothing. While raving against corporate greed as the
cause of the nation's economic woes the Obama administration
has not lifted a finger against those reponsible for the
mortgage crisis and therefore the global recession. Not a
single individual has been prosecuted under his watch. On
the contrary, he not only bailed them out Obama has been
raising campaign funds from the same Wallstreet denizens in
private while he rails against them in public. The hypocrisy
is indeed mindboggling. If this could happen under a
Democratic government just imagine what it would be under
the Republicans that have made the protection of the rich
their number one goal and first order of business in
government. It is clear, therefore, that politicians and the
government itself are locked in symbiotic relationship with
the corporate America, rubbing each other's back behind the
backs of the general citiznry groaning under the suffocating
weight of economic doldrums.
In fact, the the entire governmental apparatus is now
serviceable to capitalism, making complete nonsense of the
very notion of democracy. Just think about the unwieldy
numbers of regulatory agencies that supposedly police the
system oftentimes caught in bed with the high priests of the
capitalist system. These so-called regulatory agencies that
gulp billions of dollars in tax payers monies can hardly
lift a finger against sundry malfeasances perpetrated by
capitalists. Take, for instance, the FDA, which has
consistently and severally been accused of maintaining cozy
relationships with the very pharmaceutical companies it is
supposed to police with some of them allegedly funding its
oversight actitivies. The same is equally true of the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and so also is the
Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and many others that turn a
blind eye on flagrant abuses leading to, at best, anemic
regulatory oversight.
There is no greater testimonial to this than the near
collapse of the US financial system which is directly
attributable to un-policed and un-regulated capitalist
exccesses. The FTC conveniently looked the other way when
mortgage bankers and financial gamblers were causing havoc
in US mortgage market under clever but dubious and
fraudulent financial engineering schemes. We witnessed that
also in the spectacular failure of the regulatory agencies
in the Bernie Maddoff's $10bn rip-off of hard working
Americans that was perpetrated under the very nose of US
regulatory agencies. That is not to say, however, that these
agencies are sleeping all of the time. Surely, every now and
then they make a show of enforcements. But these are no more
than token gestures to keep them relevant in the eyes of the
unsuspecting publics and buy them some public goodwill.
After all, they need public goodwill to stay in business
with tax payers money with one leg over here with the people
and the other over there with the capitalists, living double
lives.
Basically therefore, capitalism has been allowed to
regulate itself with industry groups making rules for
themselves or otherwise heavily lobbying lawmakers to bend
the rules their way with lots of loopholes to exploit. Thus
a law supposed enacted to keep greedy capitalists in check
is purposely ridden with loopholes. In point of fact,
Republicans in the US would rather the government shoved
aside and out of the way of capitalism any form of
regulations in the name of free market even getting away
with murder, literarily. More than anything else, it is this
regulatory laxity that is at the heart of capitalist woes.
While over regulation might be detrimental to innovation and
competition, under-regulation could be catastrophic.
And so hardly a decade passes without the capitalist
system undergoing series of economic convulsions taking
place in some parts of the globe that would soon spread to
other regions under its sway like a contagion. Japan,
hitherto the world's second largest economy until recently
dethroned by China, has been in recession or depression, if
you like, for three solid decades with no end in sight. And
since 2008 when the capitalist system went into one of its
episodic epileptic seizures it has precipitated a massive
global economic convulsion and it is now on the verge of
taking down the entire continent of Europe, indeed the
entire global economy with it. No thanks to globalization.
Globalization has shrunken the capitalist empire to the
extent that if a capitalist nation catches an ordinary cold
in one part of the world it would sooner create a contagion
of global proportions to bring down the global economy.
AND this brings us to the topic of this essay: Is
capitalism falling apart and drawing its last breaths or
simply moving from the west that had been its old, medieval
home to the east, its glittering 21st century new home? And
if so, can the world continue to put its hope on the
capitalist system? What are the auguries? Can the broken
capitalist system be fixed or has it broken down
irretrievably? What happens to its old home in the west? How
is the west reacting to this emerging scenario and what hope
for developing nations at the fringes of capitalist system?
These are the main issues that I will be addressing in this
essay.
It is somewhat of an understatement to say that the world
is presently at ideological crossroads barely 20 years after
the collapse of communism in the former Soviet block. And
there is a real danger that the system itself might unravel
particularly in the West which happens to be its first home
from where it has spread to the rest of the world. The
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
puts it better in its report titled: Trade and Development
Report, 2011.
Below is a summary of the report particularly as it
relates to the developed countries:
"The pace of global recovery has been slowing down in
2011. Global GDP is expected to grow by 3.1 per cent,
following an increase of 3.9 per cent in 2010. In many
developed countries, the slowdown may even be accentuated in
the course of the year as a result of government policies
aimed at reducing public budget deficits or current-account
deficits."
For the
United States and Japan the reports states:
"In the United States, recovery has been stalling, with
the pace of growth well below what is needed to make a
significant dent in unemployment. Even the second round of
quantitative easing has failed to translate into increased
credit for domestic economic activities, as domestic demand
has remained subdued due to stagnating wages and employment.
With little scope to lower interest rates further –as they
are already at historically low levels – and fiscal stimulus
waning, a quick return to a satisfactory growth trajectory
is highly unlikely. In Japan, recovery has been delayed by
the impact of unprecedented supply-chain and energy
disruptions due to the massive earthquake and tsunami in
March.
And for
Europe here is the ultimate damper:
"In the European Union, growth is set to remain below 2
per cent in 2011, although with significant variations among
member countries. In Germany a revival of exports
(particularly to Asia) and investment, together with rising
public expenditures, resulted in a strong increase in
economic activity in 2010 and early 2011, but, as in other
developed economies, mass income remains very weak, as does
domestic demand.
"With the unresolved euro crisis, the reappearance of
severe debt market stress in the second quarter of 2011 and
the prospect of austerity measures spreading across Europe,
there is a high risk that the eurozone will continue to act
as a significant drag on global recovery. Austerity
measures, as the main means of tackling the euro crisis
without regard for regional domestic demand growth, may
backfire badly. Crisis hit countries in the euro area are
labouring under extremely adverse conditions."
Bleak as this above report might be it has been overtaken
by even worse case scenarios hinted in the report. Presently
there is virtually no economic growth in the 27-nation
Euro-zone and none is foreseeable in the immediate future
given present dire conditions. And don't take my words for
it. Quoting the London based economic research firm,
"Capital Economics" market analyst Anthony Mirhaydari stated
in his recent article that "the eurozone economy is on track
to contract by 1% next year and by 2.5% in 2013, with risks
to the downside for both forecasts." As indicated above that
forecast is coming from the research firm, Capital Economics
based on present realities.
Though still paltry, US 2.1% GDP growth rate as of
October 2011 would appear robust compared to that of the
Euro-zone which is trending in negative territory. And that
was enough to embolden US president Barrack Obama to go to
France for the G8 meeting to lecture Europe about putting
its financial house in order as if the US financial house
itself is out of the woods under his watch. The reason Obama
was lecturing Europeans while still entangled in Washington
DC with Republican diehards is because he was looking for
some headwind out of Europe to help the US economic recovery
efforts and therefore his re-election bid. Even so, all eyes
are on the Euro-zone at the moment and for good reasons,
too. Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland are sinking
under the enormous weight of their national debts that are
well above their respective GDPs, which they cannot repay to
European banks even with the 50% debts write offs--the
so-called "haircuts" negotiated by Brussels to save their
necks from the hammer that cuts off a whopping 100bn Euros
from its debts to bond-holders, in the case of Greece.
To put some figures on the face of the debts, presently
Italy gross debt is 1.9 trillion Euros, which is 120% of its
GDP. In other words, the Italian debts are 20% more than the
entire Italian economy in value, and it is said to be the
biggest bond issuer in Europe with its debts about six times
that of Greece though a much larger economy and nation, too,
relatively speaking, than Greece. Italy is practically
living on borrowing. On the other hand, Greece’s public
debts currently stand at 354bn Euros at the end of 2011
according to Eurostats and projected to reach 371.9 euros in
2012. On May 2, 2010, the eurozone countries and the IMF
combined to extend 110bn Euros (150bn dollars) bail out to
Greece, and has since been living off that money which is
now running out. If anything, it is only a down payment.
The European Central Bank is not in any position to bail
them out partly because it’s not sufficiently capitalized
itself to come to their rescue in addition to objections
from the big powers. But wait! The recent report points to
European nations talking about giving the IMF $200bn to help
bail out the bankrupt european nations. On the face of it,
that would seem to be a way out because major European banks
that have been exposed to these huge but failing sovereign
debts are on the verge of collapse just like US erstwhile
banking giants, AIG and Leyman Brothers. As a matter of fact
one US investment firm MF Global headed by former New Jersey
governor and former head of failed Goldman Sachs, John
Corzine has already gone under and has filed for bankruptcy
due to its huge exposure to Europe’s sovereign debts. The
firm is already under investigation by US authorities for
alleged disappearance of investor funds under its watch.
As if ordinary US investors have not had enough Corzine's
IMF Global could not account for $1.2bn allegedly missing
from its records. And the former CEO testified in Congress
that he has no idea where the money has gone. This is how
pathetic capitalism has become. To add to the woes of the
Eurozone, Standards and Poor's has threatened to downgrade
the credit ratings of eurozone nations as it infact did to
the US sometime in August.
Only recapitalization would save European banks from
going under like those in the US in the wake of the mortgage
crisis of 2008. EU has in fact directed the banks to
recapitalize. It echoes what former Nigerian Central Bank
Governor, Professor Charles Solubo did well before the
financial crisis hit in 2008 to help shore up Nigerian
banks. That proactive but ignorantly criticized policy must
be credited for Nigeria’s ability to weather the storm
otherwise she would be singing the blues by now in the place
of the modest annual GDP growth rate being recorded. It
cannot be gainsaid that the collapse of a nation’s banking
system is the end of the road, literarily. It is noteworthy
that Solubo’s successor has ramped up that policy and taken
it to a whole new level though initially criticized due to
its mishandling and lingering doubts about his real
intentions. US had followed suit by bailing out failing
banks that were exposed to subprime mortgage crisis. But
Europe didn’t do that at the beginning and even mocking US
for adopting the "Solubo Solution" which has been credited
for preventing the US banking industry from total collapse
even if there are still lingering problems of anemic GDP
growth, unemployment and debts overhang. Now, however, in
the face of its banks exposure to failing sovereign debts by
Greece and Italy and the rest of the bunch it is now forced
to adopt the Solubo Solution that it had resisted in the
past.
Permit me to wax a little rhetorical here: Who says there
are no brains in Africa? Who says good ideas cannot come
from Africa? Professor Charles Solubo deserves a Nobel Prize
in Economics since there is none for Banking and Finance. It
is not enough to name him International Banker of the Year.
He deserves the Nobel. Period. Were he a European economic
professor in position of authority he might have helped
Europe stave off the financial disaster that hit it.
Meanwhile as European leaders are running around with
fire on their heads, discreet overtures are being made to
the People's Republic of China to dip its hands into its
enormous reserves to help rescue debt ridden European
countries. The enormity of the economic crisis is
underscored by the abrupt resignation of both prime
ministers in Greece and Italy over the last few weeks to
pave way for new governments to administer the bitter
economic pills dictated basically by France and Germany.
Prime Ministers George Papandreou and Silvio Berlusconi
respectively of Greece and Italy have been swept out of
power by the economic hurricane that has hit their nations
and there are many more shoes to drop— from Spain to
Portugal and Ireland, threatening to bring down the whole
economic edifice in the Euro-zone with devastating
consequences for the global economy.
The resignation of both leaders is only a political move
designed to provide the right political environment before
the hangman moves in to administer the poisonous and deadly
pill on both economies. And that, in practical terms,
signals more economic, political, and social turmoil in
these nations in the days and months ahead. Make no mistakes
about this: The kind of harsh austerity measures being
imposed on these European nations have never been popular
anywhere and will never be popular in Europe either because
they are consistently seen as punishment for the poor masses
as they lead to unemployment, wage freezes, benefits
reduction or elimination, higher taxes and deep cuts in
social services that benefit the poor and weak the most,
just to mention but a few. Early signs of these protests are
already taking place in Europe and they can only get worse
not better. Massive protests will rule the streets in the
eurozone for as far as the eyes can see. And it has already
begun with even more dire political consequences. That much
is certain.
The reality is that Europe’s nanny states are on the
verge of collapse and those social entitlements are now
being compelled to give way in the face of harsh economic
realities with grave socio-political consequences ahead all
across the Euro-zone. It is serious enough for both German
and French leaders to propose an amendment to the EU treaty
to punish states that do not follow prudent financial
husbandry. That proposition however, is a sure recipe for
the disintegration of the eurozone altogether and many are
already calling for that. Left to their own devices these
beleaguered states could simply have devalued their
currencies but they no longer have any national currencies
save for Britain. They all have only one currency--the Euro,
which cannot be devalued by any one nation. And that's why
they are left with little or no options but borrow, and
borrow some more until they all drop dead.
Across the Atlantic the US economy, itself, though a
shade better than that of the euro-zone at the moment is
still largely in the doldrums barely raising its head above
the waters even with the medication that it had received.
Before the last quarter numbers came out to signal a
marginal growth of 2.1% in GDP the fear of another recession
in the US economy was thick in the air in spite of
everything that had been thrown at it. The US economy is
acting like a patient that has failed to recover or slow in
recovering from a major accident.
With over 15 trillion dollars in debts, 16 million
Americans jobless, amounting to 9% unemployment rate now
officially revised downward to 8.6% for the month of
November, the unemployment rate has barely budged which some
have unofficially put at well above 15% given that those on
public assistance and unemployment insurance are not
included in the official count, it is clear that the 2008
financial crisis spawned by the subprime mortgage bedlam has
taken a life of its own in the US and seems to be intent on
running its course like a stubborn flu. It has defied all
economic solutions thrown at it by the Obama administration.
If throwing money at economic problems could provide the
solution the nearly two trillion dollars Obama has thrown at
the economic crisis in the US would have made a huge
difference. But the reality is it has not.
Now he is looking for yet another half a trillion dollars
in his so-called American Job Act (AJA) bill which has been
rejected by the Congress. What two trillion dollars could
not solve Obama thinks half a trillion dollar would, close
to an election year. Everywhere you turn capitalism is on
trial. And the Occupy Wall Street movement has helped to
bring this to the forefront apart from the economic crisis
in Europe. The very foundation of capitalism is quaking. And
the political environment is not in a better shape either.
The Congressional super-committee charged with the
responsibility of coming with deficit reduction proposal for
the whole congress has turned out a collosal failure
throwing its hands up in the air. And even if it had
succeeded it would only have spelled even harder days ahead
for Americans as its failure. But its failure to reach a
decision will trigger automatic deep budget cuts for
government agencies across the board including the
Department of Defense and venerable Medicare and Social
Security programs.
And even as the Obama administration's Labor Department
announced, advisedly with restrained glee the creation of
120,000 net jobs and a drop in unemployment rate to 8.6% for
the month of November, that is just a drop in the ocean of
unemployment. Besides, the unemployment rate was arrived at
by effectively discounting some 315, 000 unemployed
Americans who have given up and stopped looking for jobs out
of sheer frustration. Among Obama's own African American
communities official unemployment rate is 16% almost double
the national average. So while the trajectory of economic
indicators in the US are pointed upward and headed north
rather than south for now, it is fair to say that the US
economy is still a long, long way from getting out of the
woods. The job report is due to new store hires in the
traditional shopping season majority of whom will be laid
off afterward. Therefore the November job report is not a
reliable indicator of the health of the US economy at this
very moment in time until the shopping season is over.
In fact, by some estimates it will take not less than 3-5
years for the US to get to pre-recession status and that
will take no less than 250,000 to 450,000 monthly job
creation rate to bring back the 9 million jobs lost during
the recession and even as more are being added yearly on the
uemployment list as college students graduate. And even as
the private sector are adding low paying jobs, 120,000 in
the last month which are easily attributable to the shopping
season kickstarted by the Thanksgiving as earlier indicated
the government itself is still hemorrhaing jobs, 20,000 in
November alone. States and municipalities are shedding
rather than growing jobs. Perhaps no government agency
presents this gloomy scenario better than the US Postal
Services (USPS) that is planning to shed some 120,000 jobs,
close down several retail outlets, and reduce daily mail
delivery schedules to save costs.
Now all of this is happening in only in the Northern
Hemisphere while the orient seems to be in a different
planet altogether. Apart from Japan whose economy has been
depressed as indicated earlier virtually all Asian countries
are doing well amid the global economic turmoil. Indeed the
word "global" is inappropriate in this context because it is
actually a regional or hemispheric economic turmoil. Each
time you buy any electronic gadget whether it be a
television set, computer, smart phone, tablet, you name it
and turn it over and check out the country of manufacture,
you bet in 8 out of 10 cases it will be China and the rest 2
cases might just be Taiwan, Singapore, or Malaysia. Yes
there is Aple, HP, Dell, RIM, which makes Blackberry
products and the rest of bunch based in the US and Canada,
but all they do now is design products which are actually
manufactured in China, Taiwan, or Singapore and then shipped
back to the US and Canada as the case may be as Chinese
imports. Nothing is being made in the United States anymore.
Not a pin! And you, the reader can verify that right now as
you read this piece. Yes, Steve Jobs could design an IPAD
but it would not be manufactured in the US but in China.
Amazon could design Kindle Fire but it would not be
manufactured in the US but in China. The same is true of
Dell, HP, IBM, RIM and the rest of them.
US stores are bristling with Chinese imports and
electronic gadgets. And this is a fact that US politicians
are daily bemoaning in previous and this election cycles,
including President Obama who is now describing US companies
as being "lazy" and "soft" in the global economic
competition. For the most part the American economy has been
reduced to a "service economy" engaged in financial services
and the likes rather than a producer economy. Asia,
particularly Japan, China, Taiwan and India are now the
word's workshop relegating the US and Eurozone to the
background particularly in consumer goods. Sadly enough
there are no Made-in-America goods anymore. US department
stores are now filled with Made-in-China and Made-in-Taiwan
goods. American hitherto bustling factory towns have become
veritable ghost cities inhabited by rodents and have
deservedly earned the tag "rust belt". Detroit, for example,
once the global epicenter of automobile production has been
reduced to a ghost town with hundreds of thousands fleeing
to other cities and states. According to the US News and
World Report the city has lost 25% of it population
according to the last census figures amounting to some
237,000 overall.
The relocation of US manfucturing companies such as
Maytag for example, that went to Mexico, for example and
hundreds that have moved their operational headquarters
abroad can only mean effective tranfer of wealth, technical
knowhow and manufucturing power abroad. China, India, Taiwan
and South Korea have been major beneficiaries. For example,
according to the Labor department of the 120,000 net jobs
created in November, over 50,000 came from low-wage store
hirings to help sell cheap Chinese and Taiwanese goods,
especially electronics to Americans looking for bargain
deals. 22,000 jobs came from leisure and hospitality sector
and only 5,000 jobs came from manufacturing. Now, 5,000
manufacturing jobs for an economy the size of United States'
is nothing short of industrial recession in the US, which is
in fact the case as indicated above. And it underlines the
deep hole the US economy has fallen into. Conversely, the
creation of 50,000 low-wage sales job is symptomatic of a
largely service economy powered by consumerism as apposed to
manfucturing of real consumer goods.
But here is the real tragedy: As Americans invade Walmart
and the huge shopping malls this shopping season clutching
the latest electronic gadgets from China, South Korea, and
Taiwan, to mention but a few, bought with welfare handouts
by their government borrowed from the China, it is clear
that the United States has been sucked into the Asian
economic loop from which it is difficult to break out. This
theme has animated the campaign of at least one Republican
presidential aspirant, Mitt Romney, who is railing against
China. But is it the fault of the Chinese that America is no
longer producing goods for its local consumers but must rely
on huge Chinese imports like a third word nation? Or is it
the fault of the Chinese that the US outsourced its
manufacturing to developing countries at the expense of its
economy and its own workers? Hardly so. With due respect to
Romney, his anger is misdirected.
It remains to be seen how the US and indeed Europe will
dig itself out. Americans are running out of hope. For the
first time I am seeing the usually upbeat Americans
expressing a sense of hopelessness. Their trust in the
ability of their government to do something has fast receded
promising a real bloodbath in the next election where they
will take their frustrations on their leaders just as they
did in the last midterm elections. Spirited attempts by the
Obama adminstration to steer the US economy in the direction
of renewable energy in the forms of solar and wind energy
has backfired with the still smoldering Solyndra loan
scandal under probe by the US Congress.
This bears some elaboration by those who have not heard
of it. In a move that underlines government's ineptitude and
cluelessness in business undertakings the Obama
administration rushed out $530m loan to a solar panel
manfucturing start up going by the name Solyndra to compete
with the Chinese. And no sooner the company got the loan
than it went belly up and promptly filed for bankruptcy and
laid off its 1,100 workers because it couldn't compete with
the Chinese. And the Obama administration's due diligence
was at best, suspect. In fact, it was pointedly accused of
crony capitalism since one of Solydra's directors was
alleged to be one of Obama's campaign contributors. Let's
not rush to conclusions here but if we put two and two
together it has the odor of official corruption. That is how
Washington works anyway, and President Obama's
administration is certainly no exception. And with that
American tax payers' money went down the toilet.
This is the direct opposite of what is happening in Asia
where most of the global economic expansion is taking place
compared with the recessionary Europe and North America. The
ground has shifted under the feet of capitalist west,
hastened, no doubt, by globalization, greed and corruption.
And that precisely is why the recession is not going away
because all US jobs have been outsourced abroad to Asian
countries and they are not coming back anytime soon. That's
what is meant when some analysts talk about structural
changes in the US economy. And poisoned political atmosphere
in Washington is helping to drive the final nail in the
coffin of capitalism. As in Europe if capitalism is denied
political crutch to stand a free fall is inevitable and this
being mirrored by the wild gyrations in the financial
markets on daily basis.
President Obama has been drumming it into the ears of his
fellow Americans that the jobs the US has lost to foreign
competitors in the old economy are not coming back in the
new economy. And that the US should regain its competitive
advantage through investment in the new economy signposted
by information technologies and renewable energy sources but
no one is listening to him. People want jobs not the promise
of new economy. And what is more, the failure of the
Solyndra start up has undermined his gospel in that
direction. No doubt Obama is utterly frustrated and he shows
it at each and every turn. Nothing seems to be working
amidst Washington's political gridlock, not even economic
catastrophe could move the political needle in Washington
even as Europe is in turmoil. Which provokes the question:
What is going on in the west? Why are all these happening at
the same time? It seems there are certain hidden forces
propelling the west into economic irrelevance. Yes, the
capitalist train is headed east. No doubt about it.