It will not come as a surprise to the author that this
piece might not be well received in the parts of the world
to which it is addressed due in part to the historical
hostility exhibited toward the lingering Palestinian cause
that had pitted it against the Jewish state of Israel for
decades. Indisputably, religious sentiments have strong hold
on the emotions of several individuals whose reactions to
this peace might be colored by pure sentiments rather than
objective assessment of the Palestinian question. An
oppressed people denied the benefits of statehood and
beholden to the whims and caprices of a conquering
neighboring state deserves the goodwill, support and
empathies of the civilized world in their quest for justice
and space under the sun as every other people similarly
positioned across the globe. Therefore, religion must yield
its place to the superior force of justice animating the
noble cause of men.
The arrival of the Palestinian leader, Mahmud Abbas, at
the UN Headquarters in New York City last week for the just
concluded UN General Summit, caused quite a stir and
profound consternation in both western and Israeli capitals,
including Washington, D.C. On the reverse side, however, it
naturally elicited huge excitement throughout the Arab world
in particular and in general from freedom loving peoples all
over the world for reasons that aren’t entirely difficult to
fathom.
And quite remarkably, it had prompted an overly
embarrassed, jittery Obama administration running scarred,
as it were, with goose pimps sprouting all over its body. As
a matter of fact, the US president cuts a pathetic picture
of one running around literarily with fire on his head,
paradoxically over a matter that he should have positioned
himself as the protagonist-in-chief bristling with pride and
enthusiasm for being the leader that brought change to the
Middle East. But Obama blew it, big time for placing himself
on the wrong side of history in-the-making.
Why is this happening under the Obama administration? The
reader might want to know why would a supposedly
“progressive” US president, who had all along been mouthing
“change” rhetoric in both domestic and foreign policy
positions be running scarred from pillar to post just
because the long suffering Palestinian people are demanding
UN recognition of their territory as a sovereign state when
virtually the whole world had come to that unavoidable
conclusion including the US itself a long time ago? Why
would the liberation of an oppressed people suddenly become
such a huge problem for President Obama?
The answer to the above questions lies in the fact that
the Abbas mission to the UN is one that has at least
potentially serious political implications for the Obama
administration back home, with the US presidential elections
just around the corner. For obvious reasons, Obama has his
eyes glued onto the millions of Jewish votes in the next
elections as they have always gone to the Democratic Party
in virtually all previous elections. And this becomes
critically important for him personally because his
popularity is so low right now. As one black commentator,
Gwen Ifill an influential female host of the very popular
Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) program, “Washington
Week,” chose to put it, Obama’s “sinking political boat” is
going down so fast and furious like a rock cast in the
ocean, that his political future is, at best, uncertain
right now. And that is putting a gloss on it to make it
sound a little palatable and less scary, perhaps less
offensive too, to the hordes of Obama-maniacs out there. The
truth, they say, is bitter and not many people, least of all
Obama devotees can take it in their strides.
But let’s face it: Obama’s second term bid is far from
being a done deal. And like the true politician that he is
though pretending otherwise purportedly as a change agent,
he has resorted to political tradeoffs and that means
shoving the Palestinians under the bus as he has indeed done
to his own constituencies that brought him to power in most
of his policy negotiations with the Republicans in Congress
where he wound up selling out to the Republicans in the name
of pragmatism. Having shunned the Black Congressional Caucus
for three odd years for which he has been drawing scathing
criticisms, he is now finally reaching out to them in the
caucus when elections are drawing near because he now badly
needs black votes to counter the tidal waves of defections
from his fast depleting political camp, especially so of
white folks.
It is clear, therefore, that Obama’s personal political
fate is the source of his desperation and frenzied, last
minutes diplomatic moves to scuttle Palestinian statehood
and possibly save his neck the political embarrassment that
would inevitably go with his public support for the
Palestinian cause at the UN, in Washington’s daggers-drawn
political battlefields. However, it is a shortsighted
political maneuver that could do great harm to Obama’s
presidential legacy because it is not at all clear to
anybody including Obama himself that the Jewish votes that
he is hoping to gain by denying the Palestinians statehood
will fetch him the second term that he is dying to gain at
the next US presidential elections. If and when that happens
he will have only himself to blame for burning his candle at
both ends and ending up in political darkness.
Now, here is the crux of what had given western capitals,
including Washington, D.C., sleepless nights. As indicated
above, the Palestinian leader had come to the UN with grit
determination to demand statehood for the Palestinian
territory. Statehood is a long standing Palestinian
aspiration that the whole world had agreed to as a matter of
right not privilege except for Israel and the Palestinian
territory already enjoys observer status at the UN, which is
only one step away from statehood. But so long as the
Palestinian wish-list remained sitting on the shelf
gathering dusts without taking any concrete steps to
actualize it, it was fine with both Israeli and Washington,
D.C. Palestinian state of limbo and inertia did not hurt
anyone. Palestinian aspiration for statehood was, therefore,
treated as a mere dream that had no practical implications
on the realities on the ground both for Israel and the
United States. Why would they be overly concerned with a
mere dream that is the stuff of fantasies? However, things
dramatically changed literarily overnight as the
Palestinians took the first concrete steps to actualize
their dream and headed to the UN. And nothing was going to
stop them from doing just that at the UN. This first
concrete step is what has alarmed the Obama administration
because it suddenly found itself going against what it had
publicly agreed to and voiced out time and again so close to
an election year. Suddenly Obama has put himself in a
position where he is, at the same time both for and against
Palestinian statehood—certainly not the best position a
leader should find himself in so close to an election. He is
flip/flopping by speaking from both sides of his mouth at
the same time—a craft that Obama disappointingly seems to
have mastered. Thus President Obama is facing both
credibility and leadership crisis at once—no thanks to
Mahmud Abbas. It has taken the Palestinian leader’s UN
diplomatic gambit to expose Obama’s leadership deficit,
which had for some time now come to the fore domestically to
bring it on the international stage.
However, to state that the Obama administration was taken
by surprise, leaving little or no wiggle room to maneuver,
is to state the obvious. This is because nothing of this
sort had happened in the past before and there was no prior
indication of this development before the news broke out.
Although the Palestinian Authority leader had been attending
UN summits in the past in “Observer status,” this is the
first time a Palestinian leader had, on behalf of his
people, placed before the UN Security Council and the
General Assembly, a formal request for the recognition and
admission of the Palestinian territory into the world body
as a state with all the powers— legal, political, sovereign
and diplomatic appurtenant thereto in complete defiance of
the US and Israeli serious objections. The Palestinians have
finally decided to take their destiny in their own hands
rather than waiting for Washington, D.C., and other western
capitals to make the decision for them and that has unnerved
the Obama administration.
It is a crying shame and most regrettable indeed that
Obama, the candidate of change, did not see in this
development a golden and historical opportunity to rewrite
the history of the Middle-East for the better; in
particular, the Israeli/Palestinian conflict, which colors
everything in the Arab world including global terrorism.
Resolution of the Palestinian question would unquestionably
bring huge peace dividends to that part of the world and the
global community in general and save the world the huge
resources committed to fighting global terrorism. But a
rather shortsighted and calculating Obama did not see the
potentials for the huge peace dividends in granting
statehood to the Palestinians which all agree they deserve.
Rather, he has sought to put his own narrow selfish issue of
his political survival ahead of seizing the momentous
opportunity to bringing the conflict to a decisive end.
Watching President Obama standing before the UN and
mouthing rhetoric about how only negotiations not UN
resolutions would bring statehood to the Palestinians made
me want to cry for a man who has completely derailed from
his own pre-election promises and has unbelievably turned
himself into an agent of oppression of the Palestinian
people. There seems to be no time Obama would publicly stand
for something and go all the way to bring it to fruition and
in the end winds up standing for nothing when it matters
most.
The Palestinians themselves have lost faith having seen
the wobbly position of the Obama administration in only
talking the talk and not walking the walk. This extreme
measure on the part of the Palestinians has thus been
necessitated by the utter frustration of the Palestinian
people regarding the stalled so-called “peace process” that
appears to be dead in the waters and more of a meaningless
talk-shop designed to buy time for the Israelis than real,
substantive peace talks that produce tangible results. The
reality is that there is currently no peace process as the
parties are not even talking to each other and have not been
talking to each other for years substantively, that is,
since the highly partisan Bush administration that did not
even pretend otherwise. Obama’s campaign promise of solving
the Palestinian issue once and for all has proved to be mere
hollow campaign rhetoric just like others of his “change’
promises that have gone up in smoke in the face of
Washington’s unyielding political realities on the ground.
This is one of the pieces of evidence of Obama
administration’s failed foreign policy no less so his rather
spectacular failures in domestic policies as well.
Meanwhile, the Israelis have no incentives of playing
ball with the Palestinians and move forward with the peace
process in good faith. It seems that the bullish, hawkish
right wing Israeli PM, Benjamin Netanyahu, is bent on
derailing the peace process altogether. He had been a hawk
all along even before his election that ousted more moderate
former Israeli PM turned Foreign Affairs Minister, Ehud
Barak. It is instructive to note in this connection, that
the stalling tactics employed by the Israelis has enabled
the Jewish state to continue to illegally build new
settlements on Palestinian lands, particularly in the Golan
Heights, in total defiance of the United States and the
global community. It seems there is no adult in the global
community to call this bully to order.
His goal, as that of his predecessors, is relentless and
continued annexation of Palestinian territories for the
building of Israeli settlements at the expense of the
Palestinian people who are simply watching with alarm as
their lands are been taken away from them by force of arms
with no end in sight. And he is doing this in the hope of
“changing the facts on the ground”; that is to say, dealing
with new settlers whose homes would be difficult to destroy
at the end of the day thereby creating new realities on the
ground. It’s like a thief imagining that it would be
difficult to deprive him of the property he had stolen from
another because it would create problems for him when
deprived of it and given back to its rightful owner at the
end of a legal process. That is the mindset of the Israeli
leaders in illegally building on lands belonging to the
Palestinians seized from them during previous wars. This is
against all tenets of international laws otherwise Germany,
Britain, and Japan would still be occupying lands seized
from other countries in wars.
The state of Israel is a creation of the UN precisely on
May 14, 1948 at the end of the WWII and its boundaries are
precise. They do not include Palestinian territory and no
act of war and illegal new settlements on Palestinian lands
could redraw those boundaries in favor of Israel no matter
how long and however extensive those settlements may be,
because time does not legitimize or legalize an illegality
unless the victim had acquiesced in the illegality which the
Palestinians have clearly not done. On the contrary, they
had been resisting this illegality with all the means at
their disposal, including suicide bombings and the like,
which the Israelis have now turned around to cite as example
of their alleged insecurity. This is, at best, fraudulent
claims on the part of the Israelis that should not even be
countenanced by the global community. How does an aggressor
take the property of another when the aggrieved reacts to
that deprivation the aggressor turns around to complain of
insecurity in the hands of his victim and gets away with it?
It’s this frustration fostered by an acute sense of
helplessness and hopelessness that has driven the
Palestinian leaders to the UN to dramatically escalate their
issue before world leaders. And who would blame them? And if
there is any conscience left in the UN at all, it has been
presented with the opportunity to demonstrate it loud and
clear. And the thunderous ovation that greeted Abbas speech
at the UN in contra-distinction to the muted reactions that
attended both Obama and Netanyahu’s speeches is an eloquent
demonstration and testifies to the fact that the UN as a
body is ready to take the lead and do what is right but for
and regardless of the veto power wielded by the US, which
Obama had threatened to apply to scuttle Palestinian request
for statehood. Yet it would be a huge diplomatic victory for
the Palestinian and a huge embarrassment for the Obama
administration to be thus caught on the wrong side of
history at this moment in time. It will do no good in
US/Arab relations to be sure. And more importantly, Obama’s
veto of the request at the Security Council has all the
potentials for setting the region on fire once again
scuttling the moribund peace process as the Palestinians
might be tempted to resort to self-help once again having
thus been rebuffed by the big powers at the UN. That is not
an outcome any serious leader would wish for as part of his
legacy.
Now the issue of Palestinian state has been at the front
and center of the Israeli/Palestinian peace process. And all
the 15-members of the UN Security Council have endorsed, at
least in principle, the idea of a Palestinian state
including the United States. In fact, the US President,
Barack Obama, came out publicly two months ago ahead of the
Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to
Washington, D.C., to declare that the Palestinians deserved
a state of their own along the 1967 boundaries defined by
the UN at the end of the 6-day war—a declaration that
immediately drew sharp and caustic rebuke from the Israeli
leader, which he described as “naïve wishful thinking” on
the part of the US president.
But the fact of the matter is that the boundaries between
the state of Israel and the Palestinians had already been
drawn by the UN back in 1948 before Israel attained
statehood. But having seized Palestinian lands in the 1967
wars with Arab countries which it had won decisively Israel
had not only held on to those lands except for those
returned to Egypt and Jordan, but has continued not only to
occupy Palestinian lands but in addition to that annex more
lands from the Palestinians virtually unchecked. Israel is
doing to Arab nations what Germany did to Europe that caused
the WWII by invading and annexing smaller nations along its
borders in its desire to acquire “living space” at the
expense of other nations by sheer force of arms. And the
Jews were the greatest victims of Hitler’s madness which
unfortunately and ironically they are now practicing on the
Palestinians and other Arab nations under bogus excuses no
better than Hitler’s excuses. And to imagine that the
Palestinians would just sit back and watch their territories
disappear into the Jewish state would be the height of
naivety and sheer wishful thinking.
Therefore, the issue is not whether the Palestinians
deserve a state of their own and be recognized as such by
the international community because they had been entitled
to that status along with the Jewish state itself at the
beginnings back in 1948—though it was tragically rejected by
them. The Palestinian indeed Arab opposition and rejection
of the creation and existence of the state of Israel which
led to the 6-day war in 1967 is the cause of this impasse
otherwise they would have had their state long ago alongside
Israel. But that opposition has since died down and Israel
is now recognized by all its neighbors including, Egypt,
Jordan, Lebanon, and the Palestinians themselves, with which
it has established diplomatic relations over the several
decades. There is therefore no real reason why Israel should
be opposed to the creation of Palestinian state.
Therefore, the artificial complications of redrawing the
boundaries introduced by the Israelis through acts of
annexation of Palestinian territories should not, must not,
and cannot be allowed to stand in defiance of international
law and morality. Therefore, the US president was right
historically in his public declaration that the boundaries
of the two-state structure of Israelis and Palestinians
remain those laid down by the UN in 1967, regardless of the
Israeli settlements on Palestinian lands which should and
must be dismantled forthwith because no one is allowed to
profit from an illegality. In fact, those settlements
rightly belong to the Palestinians as they legally go with
the land on which they stand.
And since Obama and indeed all US presidents and world
leaders had clearly recognized this as the very minimum
conditions for Palestinian statehood, it becomes extremely
disappointing indeed for Obama to turn his back on the
Palestinian demand for statehood. Having publicly voiced out
that position it is morally incumbent on Obama to follow
through regardless of the political price he might pay back
home with the Jewish votes. His presidency should not be
about pleasing the Jews in the US and getting Jewish votes
for his re-election but doing what is right for an oppressed
people as the Jews themselves were back in the day. He will
go down in history as standing up for the oppressed people
and changing the conditions on the ground throughout the
Arab world. Wasn’t that, after all, his campaign promise?
Why is he developing cold feet because of political
expediency? Shouldn’t he be held to his election promise?
Would Obama go down in history as the US president who
killed the dream of the Palestinians for statehood?
I understand perfectly well that there are other issues
such as the status of Jerusalem, which both sides are
holding on to as a prized and most sacred piece of real
estate that cannot be negotiated away lightly; including
prisoner swaps, the deliberately invented issue of illegal
Israeli settlements, and the almighty issue of Israel’s
security, that are holding up the negotiations. Important as
they are, however, all these are incidental issues that
should not be allowed to hold recognition of Palestinian
statehood hostage so long as that candidate entity satisfies
the legal requirements and conditions for statehood and
pushes for it. Southern Sudan, for example, which attained
statehood back in July, this year, there are still
outstanding issues to be thrashed out with its northern
neighbor, but that did not prevent the UN from approving its
statehood.
The international legal basis for recognition of states
has been clearly laid down in the Montevideo Convention of
1933 Article 1 of which provides as follows—“The state as a
person of international law should posses the following
qualifications: (a) a permanent population; (b) a defined
territory; (c) government and; (d) capacity to enter into
legal relations with other states.”
Under this Convention many former stateless territories
that satisfied these criteria have acquired the status of
statehood and accordingly admitted into UN membership, and
the Palestinian territory should not be an exception.
Membership of the UN confers not just prestige on the entity
on the global scene but real legal powers and protection
from the violation of its territorial integrity by other
nations. Thus, once the Palestinians are granted statehood
it will prevent the Israelis from routinely invading their
territory militarily or carry out other acts of aggression
against it, be it economic or otherwise. In other words, it
will effectively clip the wings of the Israeli military and
political leadership in relation to Palestinian state, which
would then be in a legal position to ask for military
assistance from any member nation when militarily threatened
or attacked by the Israelis in violation of international
law.
The implication of this for the Israelis is that military
deterrence as a strategic defense policy will no longer be
available to them as it is today if Palestinians are granted
statehood and admitted to UN membership. Any unprovoked
military aggression against the Palestinian state would be
condemned by the UN as an act of aggression against “a
member state” with appropriate sanctions imposed on the
aggressive side. Already the Israelis have garnered a number
of condemnations from the US and therefore not in the good
books of the UN due to its acts of aggression against the
Palestinians and annexation of Palestinian lands.
There is no doubt even by Israelis themselves that the
Palestinian candidacy for statehood abundantly satisfies the
above criteria. Palestinian territory has permanent
population; defined territory, which need not be precise as
there are territorial disputes amongst states, which do not
and cannot detract from their statehood status; government,
which by the way, may or may not be democratic (as that is
not a yardstick), headed by Mahmud Abbas duly recognized by
the west and the rest of the world, including the United
States and; a capacity to enter into legal relations with
other states. No one has argued that the Palestinian
government lacks the ability to enter into legal relations
with other states. In fact, it is already doing so with the
Israelis themselves.
So what precisely, is holding up the recognition of the
Palestinian territory as a state? It is not the
international community that has refused to accord statehood
to the territory but the Jewish state, Israel. One
state—Israel— stands between the Palestinians and statehood
and that one state has held the international community
hostage to its selfish desire to deny the Palestinians a
state of their own. How would the Israelis have felt if one
powerful border nation had acted to deny them their most
cherished dream of a Jewish state back in 1948 when they
were still in Diaspora, scattered and murdered by Adolf
Hitler? How would the Israelis have felt was demonstrated in
the Arab/Israeli war. The Arab countries did not want the
Jews to realize their dream of a Jewish state and attacked,
and the Jews went to war with the Arab states which it won
decisively. It was a just war of self-preservation and
self-determination supported by major powers including the
United States and Britain. Is Israel now trying to pay them
in their own coins?
While the Palestinians cannot go to war and prevail
against Israel as Israelis did against the Arab countries in
1967, the fact remains that the Palestinians are fighting a
similar just cause as the Israelis back in the day and the
end results will not be any different regardless of the weak
military status of the Palestinians and regardless of the
stalling tactics currently being employed by Israel.
Palestinian statehood is an inexorable reality that cannot
be permanently defeated by any military and political power
on earth because it is an issue of justice and morality that
ultimately have greater force than military power. Why would
a state that came into existence literarily out of nowhere,
formed by Jews fleeing persecution abroad before and after
the end of the WWII be the one to deny her neighbors
statehood? And why would the international community allow
itself to be held hostage to the Jewish state in denying the
Palestinians statehood? This is the moral question that
continues to prick the conscience of the world.
This is not an attempt to sweep Israeli fears and
concerns under the rug. Israel has reasons to fear for her
security. However, the fear of Israeli leaders that a
Palestinian state would constitute a threat to the existence
of the Jewish state is not only untenable but self-serving,
and could be addressed by entering into peace treaty with
the Palestinian state not to allow its territory to be used
against Israel by radical elements. In any case, such fears
should in no way be allowed to stand in the way of the
application of the law of nations which is clearly on the
side of Palestinian statehood. There is no moral and legal
justifications whatsoever why the Palestinians who have
satisfied all legal requirements for statehood should be
denied that status just because the Israelis are against it.
It means that the legal requirements as laid down in the
Montevideo Convention signed by world powers and binding on
all nations have no meaning whatsoever. It means in effect
that one state, such as Israel, has or could be allowed to
possess de facto veto power over the entire UN and the world
in this matter of according an otherwise qualified territory
the status of statehood. This, of course, will only bring
international law and the UN itself into public ridicule.
It must be noted in conclusion, however, that the time
has indeed come for the creation of the Palestinian state as
a matter of practical implementation rather than mere
academic or theoretical exercise, because a people cannot be
denied their legal entitlement indefinitely without
incurring grave consequences. The world must come to the
recognition of the fact that unlike Taiwan, for example,
that is part of Chinese territory, Palestine is not a
break-away territory of the Jewish state seeking recognition
of statehood, but an independent territory seeking statehood
just like Israel did 63 years ago. And something tells me
that whether or not the US vetoes the vote in the UN
Security Council, the UN General Assembly will carry it
through, and that will be one leg up for the full
realization of the dream of the Palestinians. If the UN
General Assembly accords official recognition to the
Palestinian state, it will be one step closer to its dream
and the rest will follow in due course. When the final word
is written where will Obama be? Only Obama can answer that
question. But I would advise to him to retract his steps and
be on the right side of history regardless of his
re-election considerations.
A bold leader must lead his people at critical historical
junctures even at personal costs, not follow and held
hostage to partisan ramblings in Washington, D.C. Will Obama
lead, for once—stop the flip/flops, and stand up for what is
right? In the beginnings, Obama had the promise of greatness
but the fulfillment of that promise will take Obama the
candidate as opposed to Obama the President of the United
States of America.
Franklin Otorofani is an attorney and public affairs
analyst
Contact:mudiagaone@yahoo.com