It was a relationship that
was doomed from the start, one bothering on political
exigency and self-preservation, the sourly past quickly
forgotten, a goodwill wasted and the purported pledge to
stay on the side of the talakawa (masses)
sacrificed on the altar of expediency, sacred vows now
conveniently forgotten and only good enough for the
waste bin of history – a marriage of
strange bedfellows, one purely bothering on the
marxim ‘the enemy of my enemy is my friend’. But is
this marxim always true? Who is actually deceiving who?
Let us examine the facts.
In the build-up to 2007
Elections, the options were clear and the tags unmistakably
discernable – on one hand there was Aliero in the ANPP and
later the PDP throwing his rather overbearing weight (albeit
with a warped and selfish motive) behind the now Governor
Sa’idu Nasamu Dakingari candidacy and on the other hand
there was the Shettima Gwandu in the DPP fuming and
brandishing the messianic tag of Dan Baiwa or ‘Child
of Destiny’ and vowing to clinch the Governorship position
and ‘save Kebbi state from Aliero and His plundering Cabal’
(after of course decamping from the ANPP in a rage for not
winning the ticket due to what he would later term as the
Aliero deception and the breaching of an unwritten and
unknown ‘gentlemanly’ and ‘brotherly’ agreement). Many of
course were brainwashed by the Shettima’s betrayal theory
and talakawa-redemption rhetoric and the sympathy
built up in many quarters. Aliero’s already dented political
track record and maladministration wasn’t making it any
easier for us in the PDP but we tolerated it at the time.
For Dakingari therefore, though
untainted and somewhat of a political dark horse, it became
a doubly daunting task selling his candidacy because of the
straight assumption that ‘if you show me your friend, I’ll
tell you who you are’. The Shettima camp capitalized on
that and fuelled the then prevalent anti-Aliero,
anti-continuity phobia of the public. It was a simple and
old psychology gimmick that worked well in
Barack Obama’s favour during his tussle with
John McCain for the
White House – he simply tied the poor Republican
McCain to all the administrative ills of the lowly-rated
George Bush Presidency and left the American public to do
the crucifixion. However Dakingari was a little luckier
because in the end reason triumphed over sentiments. He won
because he was judged on his own merit and proven track
record of achievement as an impartial and detribalized
leader and a prudent manager of men and resources.
In those days that tested the
political will of even the most savvy, I must confess that I
somewhat respected the Shettima for at least successfully
selling his
political ideology and giving us in the PDP a good
run for our money. If nothing else, he had a genuine and
sympathetic follower-ship and a stable though slowly-sinking
party platform to push his ideas through. Even after the
election, he seemed to remain consistent for a while. While
Dakingari was busy asserting himself and becoming his own
man by purging himself gradually of the Aliero excess
baggage, many wondered for Shettima, ‘What next’.
Then suddenly like a man under
a spell, he committed what many pundits would consider as
his greatest political faux pass. Whether it was for
the sake of political exigency or the irresistible lure of
filthy lucre, the announcement came that Shettima had joined
forces with Kebbi’s ‘Evil
Genius’ –
Senator Adamu
Aliero. For many of his followers, it was an
unbelievable bombshell, a betrayal of the highest order. His
feeble attempt at conjuring an explanation fell on deaf ears
and was at best considered as another well rehearsed
liturgy, an extra sour addition to the litany of
inconsistencies of the country’s political class. For
Shettima, it was a move that sounded the death kernel on
what was once a rosy and confidently cruising political
career that was built on the underdog status and one that
played on the sympathy of the poor and downtrodden. How
could he possibly dump them for not in the least the very
same person they ganged up with him against? Suddenly they
could see through his game as they realized the utter
hollowness and absolute emptiness of his rhetoric and many
vowed to punish him for what they regarded as the grand
deception.
Even as he oils his campaign
machinery for the 2011 primaries, the desire by the public
for vengeance is still palpable and the people’s anger
seething. Fortunately for Dakingari who has successfully
purged himself of the Aliero toga, Shettima’s loss of the
talakawa goodwill, public integrity, political
legitimacy and constituency mandate would expectedly be his
(Dakingari’s) gain. ‘Haba Shettima, you should know
better than to have come out for another election so soon’.
The public now know better who his real sponsor and
godfather is and wouldn’t touch his candidacy with a six
foot pole. However he must have rationalized that the
electorate are always gullible and that despite the glaring
evidence to his currently poor public rating, politics is
not always rocket science. He is therefore hoping that the
same Aliero political machinery that he scorned and
disparaged in 2007 would be able to do the magic for him.
And so the build-up to the PDP
primaries is on course and once again the camps remain as
politically divided as can ever be – there is of course
Dakingari on one hand and on the other hand are Shettima,
Tafida, the spoiler and attention-seeking Kangiwa brothers,
all with their godfather and financier, Senator Muh’d Aliero.
However, with the CPC vowing to upstage the apple cart and
the theory in certain quarters of the plan by the Aliero’s
camp to seize the CPC machinery (not necessarily by
decamping) to pursue their avowed plan of unseating Governor
Dakingari, possibly through a Kwakwalema (anti-party
activity) in the event that the Aliero camp loses out in the
primaries, the political permutations are becoming
hydra-headed and unpredictable. The uncertainty and
confusion still remain on whether the CPC will allow a man
like Aliero into their fold. That is most unlikely
considering the CPC/Buhari’s messianic grand standing and
the rumor in certain quarters that they’ve made up their
mind to give the party’s gubernatorial ticket to the ‘less
controversial’ Kabiru Tanimu (SAN). Of course, they say
Aliero’s support and financial muscle is still welcome
albeit if offered surreptitiously. For the Dakingari camp,
they are keeping their cards close to their chest.
How these Machiavellian
intrigues would play out in the coming days remain to be
seen. For now, the die is cast. Will the people again
swallow hook, line and sinker the Aliero, Shetimma and
Tafida deception bait or will they be wiser this time? Only
time will tell.
|